(11-18-21) Ohio’s Girls Basketball season begins TOMORROW in the state of Ohio. And what better way to open things up by debuting the Projection Index for this underappreciated sport for the 2021-22 school year.

COMPLETE Projection Index

D-I

There are no surprises at the top of D-I. Having won 3 of the last 4 D-I state titles (and would have won it in 2020), Mount Notre Dame is the team to beat. Though, when a team hasn’t lost a game since January 2019, it’s hard not to put them at the top of the mountain. State runner-up Newark is the #2 team in D-I in our initial ranking with plenty of company from other teams who proved competitive with MND, like Wayne and Toledo Notre Dame.

D-II

This is the only division where the defending state champion is not our preseason #1. Napoleon comes in at #2 behind Laurel. Despite a 21-5 record last season, the Gators’ strength of schedule remains one of the most challenging in the state with Hiland, Newark, Reynoldsburg, Hoban, and Vinton County all from last season. Projected WBL runner-up Bath debuts at #6 in the division.

D-III

For anyone who follows girls basketball closely in Ohio, it may be a shock to see Africentric as low as #7 in the first Projection Index of the season. Much of that is a result of the Nubians only playing 12 games in a Covid-shortened season. As a result, this post will now get flagged by Facebook as Covid misinformation. Expect the best basketball to come at the districts and regionals as Hiland, Fort Frye, and Union Local all feed into the same regional while Liberty-Benton and WBL favorite O-G feed into the same district.

D-IV

Let’s get it out there right now. Fort Loramie would be the favorite in any division outside of D-I. That’s how dominant that team was in the 2021 playoffs when they won their state semi and state final by a combined 76 points. The Redskins’ closest game in the entire playoffs was against Minster who they defeated by 11 in the regional semis. Appropriately, the Wildcats, who are favored to win the MAC, debut at #2 in the preseason Projection Index.